The Non-League Football Paper

Missed us? Buy The NLP here!

Subscribers login | Free sample


Get our weekly Football email

Five Early Season Trends for Betting on the National League

While it may seem like the 2019/20 season has only just got underway at the top end of the non-league pyramid, we are actually almost one third of the way through the season. In light of that, we can start to pick up some trends that can really help with your non-league bets. In fact, at the time of writing, there has been 168 matches played in the National League, so there is lots of helpful data to pick through. Here is what you need to know:

Home is a little less comfortable

There has been a slight dip in the number of home wins this season in the National League, with 39% of all games being awarded to the home side, 3% lower than last season. That has helped fuel an uptick in the number of draws and away wins. The latter, especially, is interesting, as the National League surpasses all five top leagues in England with 34% of all games being away wins. Who is leading the charge in that respect? Dover Athletic, of course, who have taken 18 points on the road – 4 more than any other side.

Timing of goals is intriguing

52% of games this season have had three or more goals this season, which is again higher than last season. However, 67% of games have been 0-0, 1-0 or 0-1 at half-time. That tells you that there has been a glut of second half goals, making the Nation League a good option for online live betting. Games involving Yeovil, Torquay and Barrow have thrown up 26 goals in the second half so far. As for the strongest finishers, Boreham Wood have taken the most points (theoretically) in the second half this season. Barrow have had the opposite problem, streaking ahead of most teams in the first half but doing poorly in the second.

Slow starters hit the accelerator

Yeovil had a bit of a slow start to the season, they but have raced away towards the top of the league by reeling of seven wins in a row. Dagenham and Redbridge have also steadied the ship, going unbeaten since August 13th. Both teams have been creeping up in the betting odds, although it should be noted that table toppers Bromley remain favourites at 4/1 generally. Solihull Moors, generally regarded as second favourites at around 9/2, must turn things around with just two wins in the last eight matches.

Over 2.5 goals is smart for several teams

Getting back to the stats driven betting, rather than the form of teams, we mentioned that games are more often than not likely to have three or more goals. Barrow’s matches away from home, for example, have thrown up over 2.5 goals each time so far this season (after 14 games). Boreham Wood tend to be involved in a lot of high scoring games at home, with the 0-1 defeat to Sutton United being the only game not to have had three or more goals.

General trends

No team has scored in every single match this season, which is normal. But some teams almost score in every game, and that’s handy to know for both teams to score markets. It won’t surprise you to learn that top of the table Bromley FC have scored in every game but one (the opening day stalemate vs Chorley), but further down the table Wrexham have a similar record, despite only winning three matches this season. That makes the Welsh side a excellent pick for BTTS and Result + BTTS games.

This article was brought to you by The Non-League Paper, the UK's best-selling football title on the newsstand, on-sale every Sunday.
To subscribe to The Non-League Paper CLICK HERE

Liked this story? Share it!


betting sites in the UK

[snack_ad id="6539132" type="1by1"]